The Schnapsen Log
Necessary Precautions (solution)
Martin Tompa
What is the immediate danger that you face? It is that Tibor may already hold the club marriage. If so, he is likely to win this trick, cash whichever of ♥T and ♦A he still holds, and then win the deal by declaring the marriage. Even in the cases where one of ♣KQ or ♥T or ♦A is the last face-down card in the stock, if you lead a small heart or diamond, Tibor is likely to win the trick and thus draw that valuable winning card from the stock. (If ♥T is in the stock and you lead a small heart, it is possible that Tibor will let you win the trick. But in this case you will draw that ♥T yourself and the only remaining trick you will take is ♠A. It is interesting, and not at all unusual, that drawing the ♥T is valuable to your opponent and useless to you.)
With all the small cards in your hand, the situation is looking rather hopeless. You certainly cannot consider closing the stock with all those losers and only 33 trick points. Is there any chance of winning this deal at all?
Yes, there is exactly one chance. Your only hope is that the last face-down card in the stock is the ♦K. In that case, you must lead ♠A in order to ensure that you win the trick and draw that ♦K yourself. Tibor must contribute at least 3 trick points to your trump lead, which will bring your total to at least 47 trick points. After drawing the ♦K you can declare the diamond marriage and score 2 game points.
This is a desperation play, because ♦K is the only card you can draw that will give you a win. The next best draw for you would be ♦A, which would leave you on lead from a position something like the following:
Tibor: (28 points)
♠ J
♥ T
♣ KQ
♦ KYou: (47 points)
♠ —
♥ KJ
♣ —
♦ AQJ
Your ♦A is the only remaining trick you will win, and your trick point total will reach only 62.
Hoping that the last face-down card in the stock is the valuable ♦K is grasping at a straw. But it is the only straw you’ve got, so plan your play as though it is a certainty.
© 2014 Martin Tompa. All rights reserved.